Gold futures daily chart

December gold futures – daily chart with Hawkeye

Gold futures surged higher on Friday with the December Comex contract ending the session and week at $1687.60, it’s highest level for over five months. Friday’s surge in the price of gold was largely triggered by weakness in the US dollar, which sold off during the trading session following the statement by FED chairman Ben Bernanke in which he hinted that the Federal Reserve were ‘ready to pull the trigger’ for a further round of quantitative easing. With this much vaunted stimulus for the US economy now virtually guaranteed, this will no doubt provide the catalyst for further gains in the gold price, with a consequent weakening in the US dollar as a result.

From a technical perspective the recent breakout on the daily gold chart gave a clear signal of the bullish sentiment, following the sustained period of sideways congestion which saw the precious metal trade in a narrow range throughout the summer. The breakout finally arrived on the 21st August, finally breaking and holding above the $1640 per ounce level, and with this strong platform now in place, gold looks set to build a sustained bullish trend over the next few months.

Hawkeye delivered a conservative Roadkill signal on the 24th August, as bullish volume on both the one day and three day charts, coupled with a bright green Heatmap and bullish trend on the three day chart, all combined to deliver an entry to the market. The only minor point to note is that selling volume entered the market on Thursday, followed by no demand volume on Friday, but this was almost certainly due to gold traders squaring their positions ahead of the three day weekend coupled with month end.

With the initial breakout now complete we can expect to see further bullish sentiment for the metal over the next few weeks, with an initial test of the resistance now in place at the $1720 per ounce level, which extends to $1760 per ounce. A breach of this level, should then see gold price move on to test the high of mid February at the psychological $1800 per ounce in due course.

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